Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.199872 0.225713 0.253072 0.284139 0.318379 0.354907 0.396761
2025-07-13 0.166779 0.201885 0.241204 0.288302 0.342974 0.404218 0.477789
2025-07-20 0.145395 0.186826 0.235502 0.296471 0.370322 0.456385 0.563729
2025-07-27 0.126472 0.171586 0.226925 0.299046 0.389722 0.499054 0.639859
2025-08-03 0.113083 0.161148 0.222430 0.305149 0.412586 0.545991 0.722558
2025-08-10 0.103147 0.153737 0.220541 0.313591 0.437975 0.596452 0.811236
2025-08-17 0.091321 0.142278 0.211917 0.311914 0.449322 0.628724 0.877356
2025-08-24 0.081792 0.132886 0.205000 0.311518 0.461648 0.662071 0.945498
2025-08-31 0.073490 0.124316 0.198299 0.310541 0.472544 0.693345 1.011463
2025-09-07 0.068234 0.119733 0.196809 0.316571 0.493109 0.738140 1.096961
2025-09-14 0.062152 0.113196 0.191766 0.316802 0.505008 0.770958 1.166672
2025-09-21 0.056816 0.107289 0.187116 0.317095 0.516663 0.803482 1.236680
2025-09-28 0.051671 0.101357 0.182194 0.316973 0.528175 0.837000 1.310566
2025-10-05 0.047846 0.097291 0.179905 0.320720 0.545582 0.879636 1.399041
2025-10-12 0.045283 0.095187 0.180627 0.329215 0.570563 0.934253 1.506789
2025-10-19 0.041913 0.091246 0.177902 0.331791 0.586196 0.975221 1.595465
2025-10-26 0.039511 0.088866 0.177634 0.338326 0.608276 1.026584 1.701190
2025-11-02 0.037711 0.087454 0.178920 0.347468 0.634838 1.085596 1.820175
2025-11-09 0.034474 0.082836 0.174054 0.345602 0.643047 1.116077 1.896081
2025-11-16 0.031739 0.078938 0.170180 0.345151 0.653429 1.150124 1.978294
2025-11-23 0.029178 0.075121 0.166138 0.344074 0.662550 1.182258 2.058218
2025-11-30 0.027739 0.073581 0.166326 0.350645 0.684976 1.236454 2.174446
2025-12-07 0.025709 0.070495 0.163233 0.350895 0.696279 1.272690 2.262780